Publications

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. Tariffs, Retaliation, and Canada's Exposure to U.S. Trade Policy Changes. Canadian Tax Journal, forthcoming, 2026.

. A New Era for Canada's Economy?. Canadian Public Policy, forthcoming, 2026.

. A Fiscal Scorecard for Canada's Provinces. MEI Economic Note, 2026.

MEI Website

. The Economic Implications of Alberta Separation. Report for the Calgary Chamber of Commerce, 2026.

Calgary Chamber

. Barriers Within Borders: Internal Trade and Domestic Market Integration. IMF Working Paper No. 2026⁄194, 2026.

IMF Website PDF

. The Economic and Fiscal Implications of Alberta Separation. School of Public Policy, University of Calgary, 2026.

SPP Website

. An Analysis of the Economic Costs of Labour Disruptions in Canada. Report for the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, 2026.

Canadian Chamber

. Paths to Balancing the Federal Budget by 2035. MEI Economic Note, 2026.

MEI Website PDF

. Canadian Federalism. Building a Successful Fiscal Federation, 2026.

Open Access (OAPEN)

. The Aggregate Productivity Effect of Labour and Capital Market Distortions in Canada. Canadian Journal of Economics 59 (1): 42-66, 2026.

PDF Journal Article

. Canada Can Grow Faster by Unlocking Its Own Market. IMF Country Focus, 2026.

IMF Website

. The Politics of Internal Trade: Narratives, Public Opinion, and Canadian Federalism. IRPP, 2026.

IRPP Website PDF

. Canada's Super Sectors: A Focused Strategy for Economic Growth. Public Policy Forum, 2026.

PPF Website

. From Farms to Tables: Quantifying the Effect of Emissions Pricing on Canadian Food Prices. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 73 (4): 358-384, 2025.

Preprint Journal Article

. How Does Territorial Financial Redistribution Affect Nationalist and Regionalist Politics? Fiscal Federalism and Territorial Inequalities in Spain (Catalonia) and Canada (Alberta). Inequality, Redistribution, and Federalism, 2025.

. Fiscal Federalism in the Canadian Federation. Canadian Federalism, 5th edition, 2025.

Publisher

. Free Atlantic: Unlocking Regional Growth. Public Policy Forum: Policy Speaking, 2025.

PPF Website

. De-risking the Tax System in an Era of Growing Uncertainty. CTJ Perspectives on Tax Law and Policy, 2025.

. Bilateral Breakthroughs in Canada: The Promise of Reciprocal Mutual Recognition in Interprovincial Trade. MEI Economic Note, 2025.

MEI Website PDF

. Regional Inequalities. Oxford Handbook of Social Policy in Canada, 2025.

Publisher

. Breaking barriers: How provinces can drive Canada's prosperity by unlocking trade and labour mobility. Macdonald-Laurier Institute Paper, 2025.

MLI Website

. Personal Income Taxes and the METR in British Columbia. Fraser Institute Essay, 2025.

Fraser Institute

. Does Emissions Pricing Hurt Affordability? Quantifying the Effects on Canadian Households. IRPP Study, 2024.

IRPP Website

. Partners in Prosperity: How the Canada-U.S. Trade Relationship Goes Beyond Buying and Selling. Canadian Chamber of Commerce Business Data Lab, 2024.

Website

. Boosting Canada's Competitiveness by Reforming Business Taxation. Fraser Institute Essay, 2024.

Fraser Institute

. Roadblocks ahead: Internal barriers to trade in Canada's truck transportation sector . Macdonald-Laurier Institute Paper, 2024.

MLI Website

. Interdisciplinary Collaboration, Public Policy Research, and Fiscal Federalism in Canada: Bringing Together Economics, Law, and Political Science. Canadian Public Policy 50 (S1): 24-35, 2024.

Preprint

. The Alberta Pension Advantage? A Quantitative Analysis of a Separate Provincial Plan. Canadian Public Policy 50 (1): 1-19, 2024.

PDF Slides SSRN Link Public Slides Supplementary Derivations Journal Article

. From Bonds to Banknotes: Central Banking and Public Finances in Canada. Canadian Tax Journal 71(3): 825-852, 2023.

Preprint Journal Website

. Rise, Stall, or Fall: The Key Drivers Behind Inflation's Path in Canada. C.D. Howe E-Brief, 2023.

PDF Code Article

. The Challenges and Opportunities Facing Canada's Fiscal Arrangements After COVID-19. Fiscal Federalism in Canada, 2023.

WorldCat

. Fiscal Federalism in the North: Understanding Territorial Formula Financing. Fiscal Federalism in Canada, 2023.

WorldCat

. Fiscal Federalism in Canada: Analysis, Evaluation, Prescription. University of Toronto Press, 2023.

WorldCat

. The Road Ahead: Rethinking Fiscal Federalism for the 21st Century. Fiscal Federalism Policy Network, 2023.

Report PDF

. The Rise (And Fall?) of Inflation in Canada: A Detailed Analysis of Its Post-Pandemic Experience. Canadian Public Policy 49 (2): 197-217, 2023.

PDF Code Dataset Journal Website

. Tax Point Transfers in Canada: An Historical Review and Key Considerations for the Future. Fiscal Federalism Policy Network, 2023.

PDF

. Paid in Full, Again? Using Alberta's Windfall Revenues to Eliminate Provincial Debt. Don’t Spend Away the Windfall, 2023.

PDF FI Website

. El efecto de los shocks energeticos en las economias nacionales (The Effect of Energy Shocks on National Economies). Energia y Geoestrategia 2023, 2023.

PDF English WP Version Full Book

. Reforming Canada's federal health-care funding arrangements. Canadian Public Administration 66 (1): 28-44, 2023.

Journal Website

. Reversal of Fortunes: Rising Interest Rates and Losses at the Bank of Canada. C.D. Howe Institute E-Brief 337, 2023.

C.D. Howe Website

. Towards a More Productive and United Canada: The Case for Liberalizing Interprovincial Trade. Achieving the Four-Day Work Week, 2022.

PDF FI Website

. Liberalizing internal trade through mutual recognition: A legal and economic analysis. Macdonald-Laurier Institute Paper, 2022.

MLI Website

. The Long Slide Towards Fiscal Reckoning: Managing Alberta's Finances in an Age of Decline. Blue Storm: The Rise and Fall of Jason Kenney, 2022.

Pre-Order

. The Federal Equalization Program as a Controversial and Contested Policy Success. Policy Success in Canada, 2022.

Open Access PDF Hardcopy from OUP

. Fiscal Sustainability and Diverging Fortunes in Atlantic Canada. Atlantic Canada Economic Review 3 (1): 1-18, 2022.

PDF Journal Website

. Book Review: The Art of Sharing by Mary Janigan. Essays in Economic and Business History 39, 246-247, 2022.

PDF The Art of Sharing Journal

. Three Policy Pathways for Federal Health Care Funding in Canada. SPP Research Paper 14 (36), 2021.

. Book Review: Who Pays for Canada? Edited by E.A. Heaman and David Tough. Canadian Historical Review 102 (4), 2021.

Who Pays for Canada? Journal Website

. Fiscal Planning and Sustainability in Alberta. Alberta’s Economic and Fiscal Future, 2021.

Full Volume (PDF)

. Fiscal Integration with Internal Trade: Quantifying the Effects of Equalizing Transfers. Canadian Journal of Economics 54(2): 522-556, 2021.

PDF Journal Article

. Attitudes, behaviours and barriers to public health measures for COVID-19: a survey to inform public health messaging. BMC Public Health, 2021.

Journal Website

. Implications of an Infrastructure Corridor for Alberta's Economy. SPP Research Paper 14 (7), 2021.

PDF Webinar SSRN

. Financing the Future: Options for Long-Run Debt and Spending Sustainability in British Columbia. Research Paper for the BC Basic Income Panel, 2021.

PDF BCBI Research Papers

. Alberta's Opportunity: The Ins, Outs and Benefits of Greater Job Mobility. C.D. Howe Institute Commentary No. 580, 2020.

PDF C.D. Howe Website

. The COVID-19 Crisis and Canadian Federalism. Forum of Federations, 2020.

PDF Website Link

. Provincial Debt Sustainability in Canada: Demographics, Federal Transfers, and COVID-19. Canadian Tax Journal (2020) 68:4, 2020.

Preprint PDF Interactive Tool FoN Blog Post

. The need to review Canada's Fiscal Stabilization Program for provinces after COVID-19. Canada West Foundation – What Now?, 2020.

PDF CWF Website

. The Effect of Migration Policy on Growth, Structural Change, and Regional Inequality in China. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2020.

Preprint PDF Dataset Journal Website RePEc

. The Regional Distribution of Federal Fiscal Balances: Who Pays, Who Gets and Why It Matters. SPP Research Paper 13 (14): June 2020, 2020.

PDF

. A Critical Juncture in Fiscal Federalism? Canada's Response to COVID-19. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 2020.

PDF Journal Website

. The DNA of New Exporters: Spin-Offs and FDI at the Extensive Margin of Trade. American Economic Review: Insights, 2020.

PDF Journal Website RePEc

. Policy Forum: Expenditures, Efficiency, and Distribution-Advice for Canada's 43rd Parliament. Canadian Tax Journal, 2020.

PDF Journal Website RePEc Link

. An (Overdue) Review of Canada's Fiscal Stabilization Program. IRPP Insight 31, 2020.

PDF IRPP Website

. Effective, Flexible, and Affordable: Towards a New System of Federal-Provincial Transfers in Budget 1995. The Budget that Changed Canada: Essays on the 25th Anniversary of the 1995 Budget, 2020.

. Calgary's Regional Active Economy: An Exploratory Study of the Role of an Active Ecosystem in Generating Community Value. 2019.

Project Executive Summary

. Internal Trade in Canada: The Case for Liberalization. IMF Working Paper 19-158, 2019.

Article IV Staff Report IMF Working Paper

. An Analysis of Carbon Tax Treatment Within Canada's Equalization Program. Canadian Public Policy, 2019.

PDF Journal Article

. Trade, Migration and Productivity: A Quantitative Analysis of China. American Economic Review, 2019.

PDF Online Appendix Ungated VoxChina RePEc Link

. Final and Unalterable - But Up for Negotiation: Federal-Provincial Transfers in Canada. Canadian Tax Journal, 2019.

PDF Journal Website RePEc Link

. Alberta's Long-Term Fiscal Future. SPP Research Paper 11 (31): November 2018, 2018.

PDF Project

. Opening Canada's North: A Study of Trade Costs in the Territories. SPP Research Paper 11 (17): June 2018, 2018.

PDF

. Climate Policy Transition Briefing: An Evidence-Based Climate Policy for Ontario. Ontario 360, 2018.

PDF Website

. Gains from Trade for Canada's North: The Case for a Northern Infrastructure Corridor. SPP Communique 10 (2), 2018.

SPP Website PDF

. Yukon Financial Advisory Panel Final Report. Report for Premier Sandy Silver, Government of Yukon, 2017.

PDF Yukon Public Engagements

. The Ground Rules for Effective OBAs: Principles for Addressing Carbon-Pricing Competitiveness Concerns Through the Use of Output-Based Allocations. SPP Research Paper 10 (17): June 2017, 2017.

PDF

. If it Matters, Measure it: Unpacking Diversification in Canada. SPP Research Paper 9 (36): November 2016, 2016.

PDF

. Power Play: The Termination of Alberta's PPAs. SPP Communique 8 (11): August 2016, 2016.

PDF

. Internal Trade, Productivity, and Interconnected Industries: A Quantitative Analysis. Canadian Journal of Economics, 2016.

PDF Ungated Explore UCalgary

. The Missing Food Problem: Trade, Agriculture, and International Productivity Differences. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2015.

PDF Journal Website

. Environmental Policy and Misallocation: The Productivity Effect of Intensity Standards. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2015.

PDF Ungated

. Quality Disclosure Programs and Internal Organizational Practices: Evidence from Airline Flight Delays. American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2015.

PDF AEA Research Highlight

. Better off Dead: 'Value Added' in Economic Policy Debates. SPP Research Paper 8 (9): March 2015, 2015.

PDF

. Factor Market Distortions Across Time, Space, and Sectors in China. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2015.

PDF Code

. The Taming of the Skew: Facts On Canada's Energy Trade. SPP Research Paper 7 (9): March 2014, 2014.

PDF

. The Importance of Policy Neutrality for Lowering Greenhouse Gas Emissions. SPP Research Paper 6 (14): March 2013, 2013.

PDF

. Appreciate the Appreciation: Imported Inputs and Concern over Dutch Disease. SPP Research Paper 6 (13): January 2013, 2013.

PDF

. Management matters. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2012.

PDF

. The Impact of Sub-Metering on Condominium Electricity Demand. Canadian Public Policy, 2011.

PDF